Will the current monkeypox outbreak reach >20000 infections?
12
8
102
resolved Jul 29
Resolved
YES
Resolves yes if the threshold is reached. Resolves no after closing(end 2023), or if the outbreak seems over. https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/2022_monkeypox_outbreak #Epidemic #ID #infectiousdisease #pox #Science #Monkeypox #Covid
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bought Ṁ1,644 of YES
It lists 22,262 confirmed cases now.
bought Ṁ1 of YES
Since 20,000 cases by END OF NEXT YEAR now appears a fait accompli, here is an alternative threshold for the nearer term (50,000 by end of August): https://manifold.markets/JoeBrenton/will-there-be-50000-confirmed-cases