As of 2018, the Plank Collaboration estimates the approximate age of the Universe to be 13.787 ± 0.020 Gy.
[Planck 2018 results. VI. Cosmological parameters](https://arxiv.org/abs/1807.06209)
In 2015, the Plank Collaboration estimated it to be 13.799±0.021 Gy.
In 2013, they estimated it to be 13.798±0.037 Gy.
Wikipedia:
[Plank (spacecraft)](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Planck_(spacecraft))
[Age of the Universe](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Age_of_the_universe)
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@ThothHermes this is a badly formed market. The probabilities should not be dependent. They are not at all mutually exclusive. You should resolve this as N/A and rephrase.
@ThothHermes Clearly "greater than 1 second" is compatible with "13.787 ± 1 Gy". Besides the reasonable option to resolve it as N/A, is it possible to change the question type from "multiple choice" to "set" to keep the previous trades?
also, "Infinite (Big Bounce)" means you're using a non-standard definition of "age" -- usually anything that may have happened before the Big Bang doesn't count. (If an embryo gets frozen for ten years and then implanted and the baby is born on 1 January 2034, how old would you say the kid is in 2035?)