Resolves to the answer that is closest to what cosmologists believe the age of the universe is in 2073.
As of 2018, the Plank Collaboration estimates the approximate age of the Universe to be 13.787 ± 0.020 Gy.
[Planck 2018 results. VI. Cosmological parameters](https://arxiv.org/abs/1807.06209)
In 2015, the Plank Collaboration estimated it to be 13.799±0.021 Gy.
In 2013, they estimated it to be 13.798±0.037 Gy.
Wikipedia:
[Plank (spacecraft)](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Planck_(spacecraft))
[Age of the Universe](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Age_of_the_universe)
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@ThothHermes this is a badly formed market. The probabilities should not be dependent. They are not at all mutually exclusive. You should resolve this as N/A and rephrase.
@ThothHermes Clearly "greater than 1 second" is compatible with "13.787 ± 1 Gy". Besides the reasonable option to resolve it as N/A, is it possible to change the question type from "multiple choice" to "set" to keep the previous trades?
@JussiVilleHeiskanen I can change the 1 second answer to resolves no and we can say resolves to the answer closest to that they say the age is in 50 years
@ian yes, lacking experience, that possibility didn't even occur to me. I'll have keep that in mind.
also, "Infinite (Big Bounce)" means you're using a non-standard definition of "age" -- usually anything that may have happened before the Big Bang doesn't count. (If an embryo gets frozen for ten years and then implanted and the baby is born on 1 January 2034, how old would you say the kid is in 2035?)