Resolution criteria:

This market will resolve to "Yes" if, between May 6, 2025, and May 6, 2026, a public coup attempt occurs against a government in any South American country. A "public coup attempt" is defined as an overt and deliberate action by military personnel, government officials, or organized groups aiming to overthrow an existing government through unconstitutional means. The attempt must be widely reported by credible news sources. If no such event occurs within the specified timeframe, the market will resolve to "No."

• Update 2025-05-07 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The creator has clarified the definition of South American country for this market. It will be based on the Wikipedia definition of the continent, specifically referring to the following twelve sovereign states:

  • Argentina

  • Bolivia

  • Brazil

  • Chile

  • Colombia

  • Ecuador

  • Guyana

  • Paraguay

  • Peru

  • Suriname

  • Uruguay

  • Venezuela

This excludes territories that are not governed from the continent and also island nations on the continental shelf.