I'll search for information about "Project 1356" to provide context for this market.#### Resolution Criteria
This market resolves YES if the final reveal of Project 1356 on January 1, 2026 contains a rickroll (a video or link redirecting to Rick Astley's "Never Gonna Give You Up" or similar bait-and-switch prank). Resolution will be determined by checking Armin Mehdizadeh's Instagram account (@project.1356) or his official social media channels for the final post/video. The market resolves NO if the reveal is anything other than a rickroll.
Background
Armin Mehdizadeh has been counting down from 1356 daily since 2022, gaining millions of social media followers. The project's exact purpose remains secret, with Mehdizadeh confirming "all of the theories are wrong," with followers eagerly awaiting the promised big reveal on January 1, 2026. MrBeast even offered Mehdizadeh $1 million to reveal what he's counting down to, which Mehdizadeh refused.
Considerations
Given that Mehdizadeh has explicitly stated all public theories are wrong and maintained secrecy despite significant financial incentives, the actual reveal could be anything from a moral lesson to an elaborate prank. A rickroll would fit the pattern of internet culture pranks and the mysterious nature of the project, though it remains highly speculative.
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@shankypanky The resolution criteria was kinda bad. Of note "The market resolves NO if the reveal is anything other than a rickroll." However, there a rickroll was part of it (tho not the main focus). Technically both YES and NO were met, hence the N/A
@prismatic hm, I'm inclined to resolve Yes based on
"This market resolves YES if the final reveal of Project 1356 on January 1, 2026 contains a rickroll (a video or link redirecting to Rick Astley's "Never Gonna Give You Up" or similar bait-and-switch prank)."
because it sounds like it did, in fact, contain a rickroll?
@shankypanky I mean it also said "The market resolves NO if the reveal is anything other than a rickroll." There was pretty clearly something else. The rickroll wasn't the main point of the video either so that angle is moot too.
@shankypanky whatever the resolution I would add this to the library of cases where AI market descriptions fall short of what we'd like from a good description.
I think the LLM tried to write "no is the opposite of yes" and used lots of words to say... Not quite that.
are these the posts?
https://www.instagram.com/p/DS_F9TxiPkZ/
https://www.instagram.com/p/DS_JIBHFF_r/
@prismatic so the point is just that he's counting down the numbers? so because he wrote a 0 it counts as fulfilling his goal? lol (sorry I'm not familiar with this guy)
@shankypanky yeah basically. the premise of this market came from a couple posts earlier where he joked that he will just rickroll everyone for day 0, but it turned out to be this nice montage + there is a accompying yt video of the journey
@prismatic got it. well having watched it, think it's a No - I tend to think of a rickroll as a video you get when you're expecting something else, and you don't get what you came for. the song is in the same post so it's troll-y but it's not a bait-and-switch bc he completes the countdown as planned/promised.
but maybe there are gradients to rickrolls? maybe I'm being a pedant? it's kind of a bait-switch-wink-deliver lol
I may take it to the mod channel but arguments for Yes are welcome in this thread, I'm not entirely opposed to 50/50 since the criteria can be interpreted in a couple of different ways.
@Ziddletwix Ok. I noticed you were online and my earlier tag of mods was ignored so thought you could handle it. I tagged mods for a few markets last night which were resolved but this wasn’t. Thanks
@Jack1 yeah there's a backlog of 50+ markets in the queue. i resolved several dozen today but it will take time to go through all of them, especially less trivial ones to read through. so there will be some delays, just use the \@mods tag and it'll get handled eventually. (but no worries in this case)