MANIFOLD
More than 70% of U.S. population believe Trump is too old to be president by EOY 2026
23
Ṁ1kṀ1.9k
Dec 31
35%
chance

This market will resolve based on national polling data from either Gallup or Pew Research showing whether more than 70% of respondents believe Donald Trump is too old to serve as president.


Resolution Criteria:
Market resolves YES if any national poll from Gallup or Pew Research shows >70% of respondents believe Trump is too old to be president by the end of 2025. Also resolves yes if he dies before end of market.

Otherwise resolves NO.

References:

Market context
US Politics
Politics
Trump
Republican Party
Trump's Second Term
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What's up with that second link in the references? Looks like some kind of SEO nonsense.

@WilliamGunn hahah it is, it's part of the AI features of Manifold but missed that error

https://abcnews.go.com/Politics/biden-age-campaign-poll/story?id=111825221

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