US Presidency 2024
164
927
Ṁ65KNov 6
1D
1W
1M
ALL
44%
Donald Trump
45%
Joe Biden
1.3%
Ron DeSantis
0.9%
Kamala Harris
0.1%
Mike Pence
4%
Nikki Haley
0.4%
Pete Buttigieg
0.1%
Michelle Obama
0%
Elizabeth Warren
0%
Mike Pompeo
0%
Tucker Carlson
0%
Kristi Noem
0%
Volodymyr Zelenskyy
0%
Meghan Markle
0%
Scott Alexander Siskind
0%
Glenn Youngkin
0%
Bernie Sanders
0.1%
Andrew Yang
0%
Josh Hawley
0%
Ben Shapiro
Close date updated to 2024-11-06 9:00 am
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answered
Violent Jay and Shaggy 2 Dope (co-presidents)
I'm from the future, this happens.
https://manifold.markets/JosephNoonan/will-violent-jay-and-shaggy-2-dope
My model is that it should be ~50% Biden vs. GOP nominee (this is by far how it’s most likely to look after primaries), but because Trump and DeSantis believers keep trying to outbid each other, Joe is consistently underpriced. Hashtag: not financial advice, hashtag: self-serving observation.
@yaboi69 I think it's still underpriced at 50% but I'm limiting my exposure. 😃
answered
Matthew McConaughey
This appears to be Andrew Yang's new bright idea: https://twitter.com/AndrewYang/status/1534238135286173697
"This is silly and you know this and make this clear by putting only 1%, not even full loan amount."
No. These cheap speculative trades are just a way to quickly double my money (which I just did). I don't think longterm.
"Also, are you aware that "Z" in your avatar is becoming symbol of Russian aggression on Ukraine."
Yes; that's why I have it.
related market: https://manifold.markets/LarsDoucet/will-donald-trump-win-the-2024-us-p
"Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?"
@EnopoletusHarding
This is silly and you know this and make this clear by putting only 1%, not even full loan amount.
Also, are you aware that "Z" in your avatar is becoming symbol of Russian aggression on Ukraine.
related market: https://manifold.markets/LarsDoucet/will-joe-biden-win-the-2024-us-pres "Will Joe Biden win the 2024 US Presidential Election?" - now at 31%
This is my joke prediction but also attempt to "predict the unpredictable". According to associates Megan Merkel does have political ambitions, she is also a us citizen and over 35. So far a far more realistic outcome then Zelensky becoming POTUS
https://www.google.com/amp/s/www.vanityfair.com/style/2020/09/meghan-markle-running-for-president/amp
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