If people tried text-to-PDF and LLM reasoning with the LK-99 papers, do you think it would help it replicate? | Manifold

If people tried text-to-PDF and LLM reasoning with the LK-99 papers, do you think it would help it replicate?

Basic

2

Ṁ80

2026

15%

chance

1D

1W

1M

ALL

Be it indirectly or directly. More details to come.

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How likely is LK-99 market to resolve YES due to advancements in text-to-PDF and LLM reasoning?

Will text-to-PDF techniques or LLM models be able to do something akin to deductive/inductive reasoning by end of 2024?

By 2027, will it be generally agreed upon that LLM produced text > human text for training LLMs?

Will we have a popular LLM fine-tuned on people's personal texts by June 1, 2026?

Will there be any simple text-based task that most humans can solve, but top LLMs can't? By the end of 2026

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By 2029 end, will it be generally agreed upon that LLM produced text/code > human text/code for training LLMs?

If LK-99 is NOT a RTAP SC, will it seem very likely the original authors knowingly committed fraud?

Will LLMs' loss function achieve the level of entropy of human text by the end of 2030?

Will we have a popular LLM fine-tuned on people's personal texts by June 1, 2025?

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