Will I successfully cram university exam revision this week? (I'm pretty much screwed)
10
52
170
resolved Jan 13
Resolved as
33%

I'm betting YES to provide self-motivation, my actual predicted probability is about 20-30%.

My motivation markets track record:

0 YES

1 NO

0 N/A

I have 1 week to cram the second half of the lectures from this past term. There are 3 exams, and 2 of them determine 100% of the respective module mark. I also haven't done a single practice question yet this term. The degree is in a science subject at a somewhat prestigious UK university.

Resolves to the portion of exams on which I have at least 50% credence that I scored at least 40% (pass mark).

Get Ṁ200 play money

🏅 Top traders

#NameTotal profit
1Ṁ35
2Ṁ9
3Ṁ7
4Ṁ4
Sort by:
predicted YES

Aww :(

predicted YES

@sn I'm sorry, but I must resolve honestly, even if most of the participants (including myself) lose mana, to avoid people generally losing trust in me. The truth is that I probably failed one exam, was forced to defer another due to tech breaking, and probably just about passed the third, hence 33%. The two I didn't pass I'll hopefully be able to retake in the summer without making the same mistakes as this time.

predicted YES

@TheAllMemeingEye Oh I don’t care about the mana I’m just sad that your cram was unsuccessful

predicted YES

@sn thanks

Just curious about the system.

What does 40% pass mark mean?

Is it Assimilated percentage of the curriculum (need to prove that you recollect at least 40% of the material/solve 40% of tasks). Or competitive student percentile (need to prove you are better than 40% of others)?

predicted YES

@KongoLandwalker I think it's the former, but if for the whole year the latter for degree levels is too different from the norm they apply mark adjustments