I'm betting YES to provide self-motivation, my actual predicted probability is about 20-30%.
My motivation markets track record:
0 YES
1 NO
0 N/A
I have 1 week to cram the second half of the lectures from this past term. There are 3 exams, and 2 of them determine 100% of the respective module mark. I also haven't done a single practice question yet this term. The degree is in a science subject at a somewhat prestigious UK university.
Resolves to the portion of exams on which I have at least 50% credence that I scored at least 40% (pass mark).
@sn I'm sorry, but I must resolve honestly, even if most of the participants (including myself) lose mana, to avoid people generally losing trust in me. The truth is that I probably failed one exam, was forced to defer another due to tech breaking, and probably just about passed the third, hence 33%. The two I didn't pass I'll hopefully be able to retake in the summer without making the same mistakes as this time.
@TheAllMemeingEye Oh I don’t care about the mana I’m just sad that your cram was unsuccessful
@KongoLandwalker I think it's the former, but if for the whole year the latter for degree levels is too different from the norm they apply mark adjustments