Will I be productive each day? (credence = ~20%, track record = 1/8, please bet against me to motivate me)
12
82
1.3K
Dec 31
37%
Fri 26 Apr 2024
24%
Sat 27 Apr 2024
24%
Sun 28 Apr 2024
37%
Mon 29 Apr 2024
37%
Tue 30 Apr 2024
37%
Wed 1 May 2024
37%
Thu 2 May 2024
37%
Fri 3 May 2024

Each day resolves YES if afterwards I subjectively have >50% credence that I was productively working on the tasks I logically know I should have been for >50% of waking hours, resolves NO if not, resolves 50% if unsure/borderline.

I will continue adding days if I feel it is still helping me.

Some past markets for context / track record:

Get Ṁ200 play money
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reposted

@traders 8 more days added, current track record 1/8 days productive, will retroactively resolve the days that have already passed a couple days from now, remember I'm betting yes on everything regardless of outcome

bought Ṁ10 Thu 25 Apr 2024 YES

@traders 4 more days added, current track record 0/4 days productive

reposted

Please help me, my life is about to fall apart if I don't get my focus issues under control :(

@TheAllMemeingEye
Try to get everything you can locally, so you can still work on your PC, and then turn off your box.
You can only turn on your box at a couple of particular hours, while the box is turned off, make a list of everything you will have to find while your internet connection is on.
At the start of each day, make a list of everything you will one to do for this day.

@dionisos It will not work instantaneously, but I bet you will get a +5 on your concentration stat as soon as your second day doing it.
Don't bother too much about it making you less productive because you can't check out now something that would help you, it will be worth it, you will quickly get better at getting everything you need while connected, and you will be focused while you go through your list.

@dionisos Thanks for the suggestion :)

@TheAllMemeingEye Tell it if you try it one day :-)
(And if it worked if you try)