Will there be in a runoff in the 2026 Greater Manchestor mayoral by-election?
10
Ṁ100Ṁ417resolved Jul 31
Resolved
YES1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Resolves NO if no candidate gets below 50% of the first preference vote, and so the second-preference votes are counted.
Update 2026-07-26 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): - The market resolves YES if no candidate gets above 50% of the first-preference vote (triggering a runoff).
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BBC: Second round of counting underway in Manchester
Manchester mayor by-election: Labour and Reform UK candidates face off in second round of vote
