🏅 Top traders

Looks like NO, because nobody has actually recieved money yet (it's been held up in the courts), unless someone wants to call me out for ambiguous resolution criteria or something.

@Tetraspace Your resolution criteria are not ambiguous, and you're right that this should resolve NO.

@Tetraspace The linked Metaculus says:

"there is credible evidence that at least one student actually has received the promised debt cancellation from the bill or executive order before January 1, 2024."

So this shouldn't resolve until January 1st 2023 I would think

NVM, misread, you're right

Guardian: Supreme court declines to stop Biden’s $400bn student debt relief plan https://amp.theguardian.com/money/2022/oct/21/supreme-court-case-student-loan-forgiveness-update

Says “a move that will allow the program to start as soon as Sunday”, but don’t know if it has yet?

@Tetraspace More recently:

NPR: Biden's student debt relief plan is temporarily blocked. Here's what you need to know. https://www.npr.org/2022/10/22/1130735004/student-loan-debt-relief-blocked-biden-court (Oct 22)

Vox: Biden’s student debt cancellation program is in grave danger from a Republican judiciary https://www.vox.com/platform/amp/policy-and-politics/2022/10/25/23420652/supreme-court-student-loan-cancellation-forgiveness-debt-nebraska-biden (Oct 25)

Related question:

It’s not exactly a sub- or superset of this question: If there’s an amendment that changes the order slightly but in a way that still results in former students getting their loans forgiven, then that question resolves NO but this one resolves YES.

“How can we forgive your loans if you don’t go to college?” 🤔

Possible sources of this not happening:

• Unsure whether the income cap means this doesn't count

• Supreme court might block it

“This question resolves positively if before January 1, 2024, a presidential executive order is signed or a Congressional bill is signed into law (or other legal means are used) that cancels at least $10,000 of US federal student loan debt for each person, and there is credible evidence that at least one student actually has received the promised debt cancellation from the bill or executive order before January 1, 2024.”

“but these restrictions must not withhold debt cancellation from more than 10% of American citizens at least 21 years old with at least $1,000 of federal student debt”

https://www.cnbc.com/2022/08/24/biden-expected-to-cancel-10000-in-federal-student-loan-debt-for-most-borrowers.html