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MANIFOLD
If X happens, will Tetra sleep before midnight on April 21st?
1
Ṁ450Ṁ40
in 21 hours
66%
Melatonin at 11pm + no Twitter/Manifold after 11pm + exercise that day
66%
Melatonin at 11pm + no Twitter/Manifold after 11pm + exercise that day + no caffeine after 2pm
66%
Melatonin at 11pm + no Twitter/Manifold after 8:30pm + exercise that day
66%
Melatonin at 8:30pm + no Twitter/Manifold after 11pm + exercise that day
50%
She takes stims in the morning
50%
She takes melatonin at 11pm
50%
She has caffeine after 2pm
50%
She has nicotine after 2pm
50%
She runs on April 11th
50%
She lifts on April 11th
50%
She looks at Twitter after 11pm
50%
She looks at Manifold after 11pm
50%
She meditates on April 11th
50%
She takes melatonin at 8:30pm
50%
She gets <9 hours sleep the previous day
50%
She gets <6 hours sleep the previous day
50%
She goes outside on April 11th
50%
She takes stims at 10pm

Options resolve YES if they happen and I sleep before midnight, NO if they happen and I don't sleep before midnight, and N/A if I sleep after midnight.

You are welcome and encouraged to add more options!

  • Update 2026-04-11 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): My default melatonin dose is 0.3mg, unless I see a good reason to change that.

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