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MANIFOLD
If X happens, will Tetra sleep before midnight on April 11th?
4
Ṁ2.2kṀ4.9k
in a day
65%
Melatonin at 11pm + no Twitter/Manifold after 11pm + exercise that day + no caffeine after 2pm
55%
Melatonin at 11pm + no Twitter/Manifold after 11pm + exercise that day
39%
She takes melatonin at 11pm
30%
She takes melatonin at 8:30pm
26%
She gets <6 hours sleep the previous day
20%
She runs on April 11th
20%
She takes stims in the morning
18%
She lifts on April 11th
18%
She meditates on April 11th
15%
She goes outside on April 11th
12%
She gets <9 hours sleep the previous day
10%
She has nicotine after 2pm
7%
She has caffeine after 2pm
7%
She looks at Twitter after 11pm
5%
She looks at Manifold after 11pm

Options resolve YES if they happen and I sleep before midnight, NO if they happen and I don't sleep before midnight, and N/A if I sleep after midnight.

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