If this person is the Democratic candidate for U.S. House Illinois District 9, will they win the 2026 midterms?
3
125Ṁ11332026
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
99%
Daniel Biss
98%
Kat Abughazaleh
Update 2025-12-28 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): This market will resolve N/A if the specified person is not the Democratic candidate for U.S. House Illinois District 9.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000 to start trading!
People are also trading
Will a Republican win the ME-02 district in 2026?
63% chance
Will the Democrats win a majority in the House of Representatives in the 2026 elections?
82% chance
Will the Democratic Party win the 2028 Presidential Election?
57% chance
Will the Republicans win a majority in the House of Representatives in the 2026 elections?
18% chance
Who will win the Democratic Primary in the IL-9 District.
Will a Democrat win these US House races in 2026?
Who Will win the 2026 Illinois Democratic Primary for the Senate Seat?
If this person is the Democratic Senate candidate for Maine, will they win the 2026 election?
Will the Democrats gain 38+ seats in the House of Representatives in the 2026 US midterm elections?
21% chance
If Democrats win the House in the 2026 midterms, will they also win the Senate?
29% chance
Sort by:
@JeromeHPowell I don't but I was reading some controversy about Abughazaleh's electoral strategy and I was like hey we can get information from the future about this
I actually work for Daniel so I consider myself pretty well versed in her strategy what controversy are you kind of talking about?
People are also trading
Related questions
Will a Republican win the ME-02 district in 2026?
63% chance
Will the Democrats win a majority in the House of Representatives in the 2026 elections?
82% chance
Will the Democratic Party win the 2028 Presidential Election?
57% chance
Will the Republicans win a majority in the House of Representatives in the 2026 elections?
18% chance
Who will win the Democratic Primary in the IL-9 District.
Will a Democrat win these US House races in 2026?
Who Will win the 2026 Illinois Democratic Primary for the Senate Seat?
If this person is the Democratic Senate candidate for Maine, will they win the 2026 election?
Will the Democrats gain 38+ seats in the House of Representatives in the 2026 US midterm elections?
21% chance
If Democrats win the House in the 2026 midterms, will they also win the Senate?
29% chance