If this person is the Democratic candidate for U.S. House Illinois District 9, will they win the 2026 midterms? | Manifold

If this person is the Democratic candidate for U.S. House Illinois District 9, will they win the 2026 midterms?

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Ṁ125Ṁ1.2k

Dec 31

1H

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1D

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ALL

99%

Daniel Biss

98%

Kat Abughazaleh

Update 2025-12-28 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): This market will resolve N/A if the specified person is not the Democratic candidate for U.S. House Illinois District 9.

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bought Ṁ869 YES

This resolves Na if they aren’t right @creator

@JeromeHPowell yep

@Tetraspace do you live in the 9th too?

@JeromeHPowell I don't but I was reading some controversy about Abughazaleh's electoral strategy and I was like hey we can get information from the future about this

I actually work for Daniel so I consider myself pretty well versed in her strategy what controversy are you kind of talking about?

People are also trading

Who will win the Democratic Primary in the IL-9 District.

Will the Democrats win a majority in the House of Representatives in the 2026 elections?

Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Senate race in North Carolina?

Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Senate race in Maine?

Will the Republicans win a majority in the House of Representatives in the 2026 elections?

Will a Democrat win these US House races in 2026?

Who Will win the 2026 Illinois Democratic Primary for the Senate Seat?

If this person is the Democratic Senate candidate for Maine, will they win the 2026 election?

Will the Democrats gain 38+ seats in the House of Representatives in the 2026 US midterm elections?

If Democrats win the House in the 2026 midterms, will they also win the Senate?

Related questions

Who will win the Democratic Primary in the IL-9 District.

Will the Democrats win a majority in the House of Representatives in the 2026 elections?

Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Senate race in North Carolina?

Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Senate race in Maine?

Will the Republicans win a majority in the House of Representatives in the 2026 elections?

Will a Democrat win these US House races in 2026?

Who Will win the 2026 Illinois Democratic Primary for the Senate Seat?

If this person is the Democratic Senate candidate for Maine, will they win the 2026 election?

Will the Democrats gain 38+ seats in the House of Representatives in the 2026 US midterm elections?

If Democrats win the House in the 2026 midterms, will they also win the Senate?

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