Skip to main content
MANIFOLD
If Democrats have 52 seats in the Senate after the midterms, will the Senate break legislative filibuster?
3
Ṁ100Ṁ26
resolved Nov 20
Resolved
N/A

Resolves positively if:

• The Democrats have exactly 51 seats after the midterms, else N/A

• The U.S. Senate passes a motion to invoke cloture and end debate on any part of the legislative process, with such cloture motion receiving Yea votes from fewer than three-fifths of the Senators duly chosen and sworn, else NO.

May 5, 10:12am: Correction to description: 52 seats, not 51.

Oct 6, 12:22pm: Formatting

Politics
Get
Ṁ1,000
to start trading!
Sort by:

Resolving N/A because Democrats have either 50 or 51 seats depending on the results of the Georgia runoff.

People are also trading

Will Democrats control both the House and the Senate after the 2026 midterms?
+6% 1d69% chance
How many seats will the Democrats hold in the U.S. Senate after the 2026 Midterm Election?
Will Democrats win 53 seats or more in the 2026 Senate elections?
36% chance
Will Democrats win 52 seats or more in the 2026 Senate Elections? (Fetterman Proof Majority)
50% chance
If Democrats win the House in the 2026 midterms, will they also win the Senate?
70% chance
How many seats will the Democrats hold in the U.S. Senate after the 2026 Midterm Election?
Democrats have senate majority before 1 November 2026?
3% chance
Will the Republicans maintain a majority in the senate after the midterms
37% chance
If the filibuster is ended by the midterms, what will the outcome of the 2026 US House and Senate elections be?
Democrats gain Senate seats in 2026 midterm elections?
95% chance