Will Jimmy Carter Die in the first half of 2024 (Jan 1st - June 30th)
25
365
1k
Jul 1
21%
chance

Resolves Yes if Jimmy dies in the first half of 2024 (Jan 1st - June 30th)

Resolves No if Jimmy doesn't die in the first half of 2024 (Jan 1st - June 30th)

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These odds are laughable. Empirically, there is a more than 75% chance he doesn't survive.