Will the US average retail egg price be below $3.00/dozen in April 2026?
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Resolves YES if the USDA ERS national average retail price for a dozen Grade A large eggs is below $3.00 for April 2026.
Resolution source: USDA Economic Research Service monthly egg price data (ers.usda.gov). Uses the April 2026 monthly average. Published with a ~2 week lag after month end.
Context: Wholesale eggs crashed to $1.17-1.42/dozen (late March 2026). USDA forecasts 39% drop from 2025, targeting ~$2.16/dozen average for 2026. But retail lags wholesale, and new bird flu outbreaks could reverse the decline at any time.
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