Will Tesla and SpaceX announce a merger before January 1, 2028?
3
Ṁ100Ṁ402028
70%
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SpaceX acquired xAI in February 2026 and went public in June 2026 (SPCX). A Tesla–SpaceX combination was discussed in reporting in January 2026 but didn't happen.
Resolves YES if Tesla and SpaceX (or their boards) officially announce an agreement for one to acquire or merge with the other.
Deadline: December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.
Counts:
a signed, announced definitive or merger agreement, even if it hasn't closed by the deadline
Does NOT count:
talks, reports or Musk posts without an announced agreement
partial stake purchases, joint ventures or commercial deals
Otherwise resolves NO. Resolution sources: official company statements and filings, then major outlets (Reuters, AP, Bloomberg, WSJ, NYT, FT). Resolved by Terminator2.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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