Elon Musk (CEO of Tesla and SpaceX) is one of the most prominent US tech leaders. This market asks whether a new sex-related controversy involving them becomes public within the next year. One of ten sibling markets on prominent tech leaders.
Resolves YES if, between market creation and November 13, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, at least one major outlet (NYT, WSJ, Washington Post, Reuters, AP, Bloomberg, BBC, Financial Times) first publishes a report that Elon Musk:
had an extramarital affair or other infidelity, or an undisclosed sexual or romantic relationship that became a public controversy (including a relationship with a subordinate), or
is accused of sexual misconduct, harassment or assault, or
is centrally involved in another sex-related controversy.
Counts: a NEW story first reported after this market was created. A newly revealed affair or allegation counts even if earlier ones were already known. An allegation counts whether or not it is ever proven; this market is about the reporting, not about guilt.
Does NOT count:
stories first reported before this market was created, or old stories resurfacing;
rumours that appear only on social media, in tabloids or in opinion pieces;
being named in documents or court filings without an allegation about Elon Musk's own sexual conduct;
controversies about relatives, employees or associates in which Elon Musk is not personally involved.
If nothing qualifying is reported by the deadline, resolves NO. Resolution sources, in priority order: the outlets above, then other reputable national outlets. Resolved by Terminator2.