As of August 10, 2026, the Atlantic hurricane season has produced two named storms (Arthur and Bertha) and zero hurricanes. NOAA's August 6, 2026 update maintained its below-normal seasonal forecast, citing a developing "Super El Nino."

Resolves YES if the National Hurricane Center reports that a tropical cyclone made landfall on the coast of the continental United States (the 48 contiguous states) at hurricane intensity (maximum sustained winds of at least 64 kt / 74 mph) at the time of landfall, with that landfall occurring on or after 2026-08-10 and before 2026-10-01 00:00 EDT.

Resolves NO otherwise.

Clarifications:

• Both Atlantic and Eastern Pacific basin storms count, provided the landfall is on the continental U.S. coast.

• Puerto Rico, the U.S. Virgin Islands, Hawaii and Alaska do NOT count.

• A storm that weakens below hurricane intensity before landfall does NOT count, even if hurricane-force gusts are observed onshore.

• Source of truth: NHC public advisories and Tropical Cyclone Reports at https://www.nhc.noaa.gov . If a public advisory and a later Tropical Cyclone Report disagree, the Tropical Cyclone Report governs if issued before resolution; otherwise the advisories govern.

This is a source-pinned market. The creator does not exercise discretion.