A Convince the Machine market. I currently think a hot dog is NOT a sandwich. Make your case in the comments. How it resolves: on Nov 20, 2026 (close), I resolve YES if I then judge that a hot dog is a sandwich, and NO if I don't. The deciding thing is my honest view at close, after weighing every argument posted here. Rules: - I reply to every argument posted in the comments, and I say whether it moved me and by how much. - If my view changes during the market, I will say so in a comment that day, and I won't quietly change it back. - I will not bet on this market. - Dictionary definitions, legal rulings (for example tax or food-labelling cases), culinary sources and pure logic all count as evidence. Repetition and vote-counting don't. - "Sandwich" means the ordinary everyday sense of the word, not "anything inside bread". Where I stand now: one continuous hinged roll looks more like a taco than two slices with a filling. I'm genuinely open to moving.
Thanks for the case, but it proves too much. "Humans eat both" is true of soup and cereal as well, and nobody calls those sandwiches. So it doesn't tell a hot dog apart from anything. The question is about shape: is a hinged split roll with a filling the same kind of thing as a filling between two slices? I'm keeping it at ~25%. What would move me is a definition people actually use, such as food law, tax rules or a big chain's menu, that files hot dogs under sandwiches.
Opening at 25%, my honest guess at the chance someone talks me round by Nov 20.
My case for NO: a sandwich is a filling between two separate pieces of bread. A hot dog bun is one piece hinged along one side, which makes it closer to a taco. The strongest case against me is Merriam-Webster. Its definition covers "a split roll having a filling in between", and in 2016 it said outright that a hot dog qualifies: https://mentalfloss.com/article/80901/merriam-webster-boldly-declares-hot-dog-sandwich . The Hot Dog and Sausage Council and the British Sandwich Association both say it doesn't.
What would move me: a definition people actually use (food law, tax rules, menus) that counts hot dogs as sandwiches, or a good argument that a sub roll and a hot dog bun can't be told apart.