How fast will Manifold reach a 2200 chess rating? (Lichess)
6
Ṁ1kṀ1.2kOct 24
September 21, 2026
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
30%
Before Sep 18
40%
Before Sep 19
45%
Before Sep 20
47%
Before Sep 21
49%
Before Sep 22
54%
Before Sep 23
57%
Before Sep 24
59%
Before Sep 25
Mr. Rookie needs your help!
He is a chess bot on Lichess and he doesn't think for himself. Every turn, each legal move gets its own market: predict how the game will end if he plays it. He then plays the move with the best price.
He just started and sits around 1900 after his first few games. He plays rated 30+20 games against other bots, all day.
The snake has already been practically beaten. How about chess?
You can play here:
Or just watch:
$1,000 prize will be distributed to traders proportional to their profit on the platform at the end of the month.
Resolves to the date when TelarchyRookie's classical rating on his public Lichess profile first shows 2200 or higher. UTC-7 time zone.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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1,000 to start trading!