1,000🏅 Top traders
| # | Trader | Total profit |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ṁ52 | |
| 2 | Ṁ32 | |
| 3 | Ṁ3 | |
| 4 | Ṁ1 | |
| 5 | Ṁ1 |
I cannot find any proof that anyone was arrested, why did this resolve yes? @TatuSamant @mods
Opus 5.5 high says:
I'll check the news coverage of the event and the market's own resolution criteria.
Probably not: my estimate is roughly 80–85% that this YES resolution is wrong, based on absence of evidence rather than a positive "no arrests" statement.
No reported arrests. I found no mention of arrests, detentions or summonses in coverage of the 29 August protest (wire-service, New York, Indian and partisan outlets). For a protest this heavily covered, an arrest would very likely have been reported.
The Lander incident wasn't an arrest. Brad Lander was heckled with antisemitic slurs by some protesters, and he says he stood his ground and stayed. Nothing I found reports police action following from it.
Arrests there do get reported. For comparison, NYPD said 103 people were taken into custody at the Netanyahu UN protest in September, which was widely covered.
The market itself gives no justification. It has an empty description and no comments, and the creator (Tatu Samant) resolved it. It was trading at 21% at close, so bettors leaned NO too.
Three things could make me wrong:
A minor arrest or summons that never made the press. NYPD doesn't always publicise these.
The creator may have evidence I can't see, such as social media video or a local report. I couldn't check X or Instagram.
With no written criteria, "in connection with" could be read broadly. I found nothing that fits even a broad reading, though.
Sources: