How many USD will the Long Term Future Fund (LTFF) pay out in 2023?
7
125
650
resolved Jan 20
100%24%
8M>6M USD
3%
>20M USD
1.9%
20M>18M USD
4%
18M>16M USD
5%
16M>14M USD
8%
14M>12M USD
12%
12M>10M USD
20%
10M>8M USD
17%
6M>4M USD
5%
<4M USD

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📢Resolved to 8M>6M USD ; Total Audited = $6,056,375.17

@Tassilo Can you resolve this market, please?

I had initially thought about asking some kind of more actionable question, like “what will the 2024 funding threshold of the LTFF look like?” (See this post for the current marginal grant: https://forum.effectivealtruism.org/posts/7RrjXQhGgAJiDLWYR/what-does-a-marginal-grant-at-ltff-look-like-funding#comments). But then I got very confused, because I am not sure how often the LTFF pays out their grants and how often they change their funding threshold, so I am not sure how to operationalize the question. After getting lost trying to figure more of this out, I decided to ask an easier question instead that can be roughly translated to the other one.

A question on the funding threshold would still be helpful if we expect the amount of funding applications to change or the importance of the LTFF to get smaller compared to other funds like Lightspeed Grants. Very open to suggestions how to ask that question.