Will someone deadlift 505kg or more by the end of 2024?
9
77
190
2025
20%
chance
  • The question will resolve as "yes" if any individual is able to deadlift a weight of 505 kilograms or more in a single lift by 11:59 PM UTC, December 31, 2024.

  • The lift must take place in a professionally sanctioned powerlifting or strongman event.

  • The event, and the specific lift, must be verifiable through reliable and widely accepted sources. This can include official documentation from the event or organization, video evidence, and/or major news reports that specifically confirm the weight lifted.

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predicts NO

@TamayBesiroglu presumably this market should close on Dec 31, 2024 rather than 2023 based on the description and title.

predicts NO

@Jacy I have extended the close date for now.

bought Ṁ10 of YES

For anyone else like me who doesn't know the context, here's what I've been able to google:

It looks like 4 people have ever reached 500kg, and several of them have been making attempts for 505kg at events including the yearly World Deadlift Championships. This year's event is part of the Giants Live 2023 Strongman World Open on Sept. 2, 2023 in Cardiff, Wales.

Between this event, next year's event, and other attempts, it seems like many fans are expecting the record to be broken within this timeframe.