Will a third party get more than 2% of the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Elections?
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11
Ṁ302Nov 7
60%
chance
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1W
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Will resolve YES if any party other than Democrat or Republican gets more than 2% of the popular vote.
Will resolve NO otherwise.
For reference, the next closest party for the 2020 election were the Libertarian party with just under %1.17 of the vote. In the 2016 election they got %3.3.
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