Winning answer will be determined on box office mojo worldwide grosses:
https://www.boxofficemojo.com/release/rl247366145/
Most marvel movies usually stay 2 months at the box office so to be sure, the question closes a little less than 3 months after the release in theatre.
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@GordanKnott Even if it is, it will be nigh on impossible to have a 4.5x multiplier on the opening weekend number.
@THEWINNER What are you calling failure here?
The original made over $1.1 billion. Someone could think that it will fail and still think that it's going to make a lot more than $450 million!
@SimonGrayson I know all that, but people who are vocal about this movie on the internet tend to think that the first was a failure and so will the next one, tbh I thought I'd make a couple credits at their expense as you can see with my position regarding that question 😁
@THEWINNER Well, I hope those people turn up and bet the odds on this down so that I can take up a larger position against them!