Wuhan Institute of Virology defector before 2040
14
closes 2040
48%
chance

A former scientist, staff, government official, or related background, who had Chinese citizenship at the time, will speak publicly in the US, UK, or EU about previously non public and significant information about the situation there related to the COVID or biosafety.

This is typically something the CCP opposes (although if they weren't around that wouldn't happen.) The claim may still become true in that case. If the person felt travels in and out of CCP controlled areas that pushed against the claim being true since the CCP wouldn't allow a true defector that freedom.

An anonymous report or intelligence reports, official or leaked, aren't enough. It has to be a individual named person speaking out somehow, and they have to be obviously not in foreign custody (hence the location requirement).

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