LK-99 will be added to Wikipedia's list of scientific errors and frauds before 2025
StrayClimb avatar
Calvinball
26
closes 2025
36%
chance
Get Ṁ500 play money

Related questions

The US becomes much more like shadowrun before EOY 2024
StrayClimb avatarCalvinball
41% chance
WW3: by 2030
Gigacasting avatarGigacasting
24% chance
LK-99 will be added to Wikipedia's page on pathological science before 2025
StrayClimb avatarCalvinball
23% chance
Graphene energy harvesting will be added to Wikipedia's list of scientific errors and frauds before 2025
33cb avatarАлександр Мельников
9% chance
An AI will bindingly arbitrate a dispute in the United States before 2027
RealityQuotient avatarReality Quotient
69% chance
A software vulnerability, publicly revealed in 2023, will get WaPo, The Guardian, Le Monde, and El País coverage
yaboi69 avataryaboi69
47% chance
Something relating to India is a going to be a top story in the anglosphere in 2023
NathanpmYoung avatarNathan Young
31% chance
A defendant in a class I or II felony case in the United States will use an "AI Told Me to Do It" defense before the end of 2023
RealityQuotient avatarReality Quotient
46% chance
Michael Lewis book "Going Infinite" on SBF will be #1 on NYTimes bestseller list for at least 10 weeks before mid 2024
StrayClimb avatarCalvinball
18% chance
@PeterWildeford by July 16th 2024 (negligible M$ liquidity subsidy!!)
jskf avatarjskf
54% chance
New US $20 bills don't have Andrew Jackson on them any time through 2030
StrayClimb avatarCalvinball
42% chance
In the year 2100, these will be the top 5 languages
LivInTheLookingGlass avatarOlivia🏳️‍⚧️
Michael Lewis book "Going Infinite" on SBF will be #1 on NYTimes bestseller list for at least 4 weeks before mid 2024
StrayClimb avatarCalvinball
65% chance
Michael Lewis book "Going Infinite" on SBF will be #1 on NYTimes bestseller list for at least 6 weeks before mid 2024
StrayClimb avatarCalvinball
56% chance
Wuhan Institute of Virology defector before 2040
StrayClimb avatarCalvinball
48% chance
Any of these 30 LLM-generated disasters happens in Europe through 2027
StrayClimb avatarCalvinball
54% chance
There will be a major morality scandal around a top English language pingpong announcer before 2041
StrayClimb avatarCalvinball
40% chance
There will be a change to the permanent members of the UN Security council before 2040
StrayClimb avatarCalvinball
44% chance
The US will not approve a nasal vaccine for Covid-19 [in 2023]
a avatararae
69% chance
3. More Mistake Fares in 2023 than 2022.
MattCWilson avatarMatt C. Wilson
58% chance
1 Comments
26 Positions
84 Trades
Sort by:
StrayClimb avatar
Calvinball

Also: /StrayClimb/lk99-will-be-added-to-wikipedias-pa