Will the US and Iran go to war by end 2024?
26
228
530
2025
14%
chance

US sends more fighter jets and warship to Gulf after Iran attempts to seize tankers

Resolves YES if, by the end of 2024, either nation formally declares war, if either nation invades and occupies the other's undisputed sovereign territory with military forces, or if de-facto war breaks out in the form of multiple skirmishes. Otherwise, resolves NO.

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