Will the Golden Bachelor get married by the end of the season?
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resolved Dec 8
Resolved
NO

The "After the Final Rose"/ Reunion episode(s) count as part of the season.

Normally there's a proposal and an engagement, but a marriage isn't out of the question. If they get married off screen between the final rose and the reunion, that still counts. No proposal or no engagement, even if the Bachelor then marries one of the eliminated contestants, doesn't count and resolves this NO immediately.

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predicted NO

@AlisonAvery seems to me like the season has ended and this will be happening post-season. my bad for leaving this market up.

Gerry cries during 70% of his appearances on screen and has shown a lot of early tendencies to bend to the whims of the ladies. Theresa and Faith, who I’d call the clear front runners through 3 episodes, have some screws loose and will want to tie Gerry down. My double blind Bayesian model ran 5000 simulations and Gerry ends up married in 3286 of them.

@BDStraw Another way of looking at his behavior is that he's very sympathetic but decisive. He knows how to show grace and kindness to people even as he resolves to let them go later. But yes, I'm concerned he's a bit of a pushover as well.

@BDStraw still, I love this comment 😂

predicted YES

@Stralor hahaha that comment is very sympathetic in its own right, Pat. I'm just saying the water works after the 2nd rose ceremony was troubling. Troubling indeed. I'll see you back in this comment section for debrief after the next episode!

Also - would bet more in this market but I'm not going to be seeking spoilers.

@BDStraw yeah I tend to watch the eps late, but I'm not too worried about spoilers myself

predicted YES

@Stralor Pat you watch last week? I have updated rankings of contendership to share

@BDStraw I missed it bc the person I watch it with watched it without me! go ahead and share, I'm skipping that episode ig

predicted YES

@Stralor damn well, you missed the conclusion of the Kathy Theresa saga. Frankly I am glad Kathy's gone even tho she showed a lot of early potential for being funny.

Top Contender Tier:
Faith (definitely fits the mold of the typical, non-Golden bachelor winner)
Ellen (I don't think she's hot enough to be the no. 1 favorite, would demonstrate a seriously impressive lack of horniness from Gerry if she won)

Outside Looking In Tier:
Theresa (her connection with Gerry is clearly there... but also clearly crazy... hard to say whether the Kathy saga helped or hurt)
Leslie (she's got top 3-4 but no further written all over her... the saucy dancing during the talent show was not "she's a keeper" behavior)

Still Alive But On Thin Ice Tier:
Sandra (she's my favorite but seemingly no connection. there was a bit in this episode where she had one on one time with Gerry that felt super forced)

Not Even Remotely Alive Tier:
Susan (god bless her, seems like a lovely human, but she's gone this week EZ)

@BDStraw glad Kathy is gone! I have hopes for Theresa. Also it's their waning years, I wouldn't count the sexy-dancing fitness coach out...

predicted YES

@Stralor Hahaha I'm with ya, I was fully counting Leslie out but she had a 1 on 1 date with Gerry this episode that went really well... Still don't like her vibe but Gerry seems to like it quite a bit!