Which of these IUCN critically endangered ("Red List") species will still be extant in 2040?

#Animals #Conservation

Ṁ173

Ṁ620

2040

ALL

50%

African forest elephant (Loxodonta cyclotis)

50%

Chinese pangolin (Manis pentadactyla)

64%

European hamster (Cricetus cricetus)

45%

Vaquita (Phocoena sinus)

50%

Black rhinoceros (Diceros bicornis)

45%

Sumatran orangutan (Pongo abelii)

50%

Hawksbill sea turtle (Eretmochelys imbricata)

50%

Santiago Island giant tortoise (Chelonoidis niger darwini)

58%

Torrey pine (Pinus torreyana)

50%

Jellyfish tree (Medusagyne oppositifolia)

55%

Kākāpō (Strigops habroptila)

50%

Great green macaw (Ara ambiguus)

50%

Pernambuco pygmy owl (Glaucidium mooreorum)

50%

California condor (Gymnogyps californianus)

50%

Great hammerhead (Sphyrna mokarran)

50%

Angelshark (Squatina squatina)

50%

Nike's squeaker (Arthroleptis nikeae)

50%

Ammonite Snail (Helenoconcha relicta)

50%

Dromedary naiad (Dromus dromas)

50%

Sri Lankan relict ant (Aneuretus simoni)

Extant, as in Not Extinct.

When adding to this list, please avoid Possibly Extinct ("CR(PE)") and Extinct in the Wild ("EW") species, as well as orange-status Endangered species ("EN"). They should be Critically Endangered ("CR") at time of addition, or the equivalent if the system changes.

Anything that goes extinct resolves NO, everything else resolves YES in 2040. Special cases where that doesn't apply:

Anything that moves to the Extinct in Wild or Possibly Extinct lists and stays there into 2040 resolves 50%
If a species is declared Extinct, is resolved NO, and later resurfaces, it will be unresolved if able
Anything that changes name or taxonomy will be updated to reflect that if possible, and may have resolution changes if necessary from mergers/ splits

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Dromedary naiad (Dromus dromas)

The dromedary naiad is a freshwater mussel that was reduced to just three living specimens in the Tennessee River in 1978, and two more in the Cumberland River. Today, there are four clusters of populations, two of which are reproductive. However, from 2016-2019 there were mass die offs in one of the populations, possibly from viral infection.

endangered (not critically) so not adding the Sei Whale to this market but 😭

Kākāpō (Strigops habroptila)

The last 250 kākāpō (aka owl parrots or moss chickens), flightless birds endemic to New Zealand, have been protected by being kidnapped and sent to live on isolated islands.