16
230
1K
resolved Dec 31
ResolvedN/A
7%
Destiny vs. Rollo Tomasi and Michael Sartain
2.0%
Destiny vs. Ryan Dawson
7%
Destiny vs. Nick Fuentes
1.8%
Destiny vs. Cenk Uygur
23%
Destiny vs. Alex Jones, Jack Posobiec, and more
20%
Destiny vs. Angryman II
2%
Destiny vs. Sulaiman Ahmed
2%
Destiny vs. Daniel Haqiqatjou
10%
Destiny vs. Lila Rose and Kristan Hawkins
23%
Destiny vs Milo Yianoppoulos
2%
Destiny vs Trent Horn

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sold Ṁ40 of Destiny vs. Rollo To... YES

@jojomonsta the winning debate is not listed as an option, so this market must resolve NA

Reminder that the Cenk debate nominated is the Biden/Rittenhouse debate, not the Israel/Palestine debate they had the other day. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ZdB9dtqT4GM

@Rasmus1 @jojomonsta Gah everyone is clearly trading based on it being the new one. The option isn't labeled "Cenk vs Destiny on rittenhouse" it's labeled "Destiny vs Cenk".

Jojo should either N/A the Cenk option and create two new clearly labeled options, or the Cenk option should count for either Cenk debate winning

bought Ṁ44 of Destiny vs. Cenk Uygur NO

you can't n/a options, either n/a the whole market or resolve it no

@jacksonpolack It should count for either Destiny/Cenk debate then. There's nothing in the description to indicate which debate we are predicting, which is why it got voted up after the debate

@Rasmus1 Will they not add it in? They've made changes to the nominees many times so far

bought Ṁ10 of Destiny vs. Cenk Uygur YES

@Tumbles Maybe  ¯\_(ツ)_/¯ If they do, can @jojomonsta add it as an option, or is it locked in?

@Rasmus1 I'll just repeat what I said before and say that "Destiny vs Cenk" was bid up because of the recent debate. It doesn't say "Destiny vs Cenk on rittenhouse" it says "Destiny vs Cenk", and that's why it got bid on

even if there's a second debate added it'd get its own option lol

@Tumbles Yeah, you're the one that bid it up LUL

"everyone is clearly trading based on it being the new one" bro NAHH

@Rasmus1 It wasn't just me! I noticed it in the first place because it was already bid up

bought Ṁ5 of Destiny vs. Alex Jon... YES

@Tumbles Yeah, I see that @dgga bought it up to 5%. I suspect he was anticipating someone would take the Cenk option to mean the second debate, what a cruel dude he is 😡 already sold it all, too.

EDIT: I don't remember the first Cenk debate, but it still might win though 🤔 Especially if the second one isn't added.

@Rasmus1 Sometimes we do a little prediction of market trends on false premises 😇

Also to be fair I absolutely think this market should resolve N/A since the actual TDA nominees have not been locked in. Personally I don't think markets like these should be made before a 100% confirmation of the options. The new Cenk debate will definitely be included in the TDA so at the very least this Cenk option should cover the more popular one (the recent one) of the options if they both get nominated.

I would N/A and make a whole new one once the nominations are locked in, though.

Derivative Market!

Destiny vs. Nick Fuentes