NFL Week 1 - Prop Bets
๐Ÿ’Ž
Premium
114
แน€310k
resolved Sep 11
Resolved
YES
Punt or Kick Return Touchdown
Resolved
YES
Safety Scored
Resolved
YES
AFC or NFC Offensive Player of the Week is a Running Back
Resolved
YES
Taylor Swift in Attendance to Any Game
Resolved
YES
A Quarterback throws at least 4 Touchdowns in a game
Resolved
YES
Score as time expires in the fourth quarter/OT (tying or go-ahead)
Resolved
YES
Any player throws for more than 300 yards and loses
Resolved
YES
Scorigami
Resolved
YES
60+ yard score
Resolved
YES
Caleb Williams Wins His First Game
Resolved
YES
Some Player Hits The Griddy In The End Zone
Resolved
YES
LA teams finish with a better record than NY teams
Resolved
YES
A Pick Six Happens
Resolved
YES
For each letter of the alphabet, at least one touchdown is scored by a player that has that letter in their first or last name
Resolved
YES
Any player scores 3 TDs in a game (non-Passing)
Resolved
YES
Any team scores 40+ points
Resolved
YES
Any Comeback Win of 14+ points
Resolved
YES
Any player (non-QB) scores three or more TDs
Resolved
YES
Largest FG made is from 56+ yards out
Resolved
N/A
At Least 4 Favored Teams Lose

2024-25 NFL Season - Week One

Add your own props related to Week One (if it is super specific be prepared to help me find an answer). Answers should be able to be resolved by about a Week after Week One finishes, but not later than that.

Game Slate:

Thursday, September 5th

Baltimore @ Kansas City 8:20 PM EST

Friday, September 6th

Green Bay @ Philadelphia 8:15 PM EST

Sunday, September 8th

Pittsburgh @ Atlanta 1:00 PM EST

Arizona @ Buffalo 1:00 PM EST

Tennessee @ Chicago 1:00 PM EST

New England @ Cincinnati 1:00 PM EST

Houston @ Indianapolis 1:00 PM EST

Jacksonville @ Miami 1:00 PM EST

Carolina @ New Orleans 1:00 PM EST

Minnesota @ NYG 1:00 PM EST

Las Vegas @ LAC 4:05 PM EST

Denver @ Seattle 4:05 PM EST

Dallas @ Cleveland 4:25 PM EST

Washington @ Tampa Bay 4:25 PM EST

LAR @ Detroit 8:20 PM EST

Monday, September 9th

NYJ @ San Francisco 8:20 PM EST

Byes: None

Other NFL Week 1 Markets:

Other Week Props:

/StopPunting/nfl-week-one-prop-bets

/StopPunting/nfl-week-two-prop-bets

/StopPunting/nfl-week-three-prop-bets

/StopPunting/nfl-week-four-prop-bets

/StopPunting/nfl-week-five-prop-bets

/StopPunting/nfl-week-six-prop-bets

/StopPunting/nfl-week-seven-prop-bets

/StopPunting/nfl-week-eight-prop-bets

/StopPunting/nfl-week-nine-prop-bets

/StopPunting/nfl-week-ten-prop-bets

/StopPunting/nfl-week-eleven-prop-bets

/StopPunting/nfl-week-twelve-prop-bets

/StopPunting/nfl-week-thirteen-prop-bets

/StopPunting/nfl-week-fourteen-prop-bets

/StopPunting/nfl-week-fifteen-prop-bets

/StopPunting/nfl-week-sixteen-prop-bets

/StopPunting/nfl-week-seventeen-prop-bets

/StopPunting/nfl-week-eighteen-prop-bets

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AFC or NFC Offensive Player of the Week is a Running Back
bought แน€350 AFC or NFC Offensive... YES

@StopPunting ๐Ÿซก great market

bought แน€100 AFC or NFC Offensive... NO

Where do AFC/NFC players of the week get posted, NFLโ€™s Twitter? My guesses are Josh Allen and Baker Mayfield

bought แน€150 AFC or NFC Offensive... YES

posted to twitter now

Thanks everybody for trading in this market and happy start to the NFL season (unless you are a Panthers/Giants fan)! The Prop market for next week is already up, and is Basic instead of Plus, so it is much more affordable (100M instead of 1000M) to add your own answers. Let me know also if you have any suggestions for next week (about the market or any individual answers)!

bought แน€2,155 Answer #6850d8154d43 NO

@mods can you N/A

"At Least 4 Favored Teams Lose" and "Quarterback gets benched in the middle of a game"

My criteria for the former didn't specific a sportsbook and the later wasn't well defined enough

sold แน€234 Answer #b6bb521a49d4 NO

@StopPunting tbf I think getting โ€œbenchedโ€ has a pretty common sense definition but I can understand why people would be mad

@TommyEagle I agree. I think most people were betting based on the spirit (that it was more likely Rodgers was out since the game was out of hand to avoid injury) but it is much more borderline than an example like Carr yesterday. As someone who also tries to live bet sudden prop changes, I know it would also really suck to lose a ton of mana live betting an arguably correct answer that wasn't clarified well.

@StopPunting fwiw at least 500 tweets about Rodgers getting benched in the last 30 minutes, so not sure this common sense definition you guys share is so common

@PatrickMcCann Twitter hivemind is always the voice of reason I turn to for accuracy.

@Predictor I'm not debating the outcome here, I just don't like the lack of civility saying I lack common sense

@PatrickMcCann For sure.

Scorigami
bought แน€500 Scorigami YES

SCORIGAMIIIIIIII!!!!

Earlier in the game, the chance of scorigami was <1%, so I was surprised to find it up to around 4% at 26-13. It took me a while to realize that the algorithm must have seen 32-19 as a possibility, and that's exactly what transpired! Somehow.

@Calibrate Iโ€™m dumb and tried to jump on the vol last minute lol. two seconds to actually check the site would have been good

bought แน€247 Answer #b6bb521a49d4 YES

@StopPunting resolves yes, rodgers

FWIW not considering Tyrod for Rodgers a benching because it was a blowout injury avoider (will clarify for next week's market)

@StopPunting i am starting to hate this site, are you serious? You just made up a new rule

bought แน€1,827 Scorigami NO

Sorry :/. It was clarified earlier in the comments below before the game. I do agree it was subjective. I might also get this one N/A and have at least more clear (if still subjective) ruling next week.

bought แน€1,000 Answer #b6bb521a49d4 YES

@StopPunting Should be YES or N/A come on

At Least 4 Favored Teams Lose

@StopPunting Hey quick question, what odds source will you be using to resolve this? According to ESPN the Patriots (+7.5), Steelers (+4.5), Vikings (+2.5), and Cowboys (+2) were all underdogs and won.

@DanielTilkin

I took this yesterday after the game.

I'm seeing mostly Vikings as favorites, but some Giants as favorites at closing.

Ideally I'd go by closing line, can anybody confirm the BetRivers closing line here?

https://www.vegasinsider.com/nfl/matchups/giants-vs-vikings/

If so, I would likely resolve at 50% or as N/A if the Jets lose (let me know what others think makes sense)

In the future I'll probably clarify a sportsbook to make it less ambiguous

@StopPunting Here's another source with MIN +2.5: https://www.sportsbookreview.com/betting-odds/nfl-football/?week=Week1

I checked at 12:40 and everything was either MIN -1 or MIN -1.5. You should just decide what to do, because we're all hopelessly biased.

@travis that source shows Vikings favorites in 3 out of six books, I would read that source as giants not the favorite

@StopPunting Vikings are the unambiguous favorite if Vegas insider is your source, it lists the "consensus" there as -1 Vikings

The fact that this wasn't resolved at the start of the Monday game seems to imply to bettors this game would impact the outcome. If you had the Giant as favorites this shouldn't have been open

@PatrickMcCann Yeah I had Giants as favorites. To be fair since I didn't declare a book, I will probably try to get it N/A'd. I wanted to wait for the Jets to lose (which they now are confirmed to do ha), to not influence the market (would have been an effective freeroll)

sold แน€2,426 Answer #b6bb521a49d4 YES

@StopPunting does this stuff happen every week :) I'm new here

@PatrickMcCann Just a rusty first week lol. Part of the downside to the fun of being able to bet on anything is that there are going to be a bunch of ambiguous cases that you don't see when you make the answers.

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