A debate between Ron DeSantis and Gavin Newsom will be held on November 30, 2023. This market resolves to the winner of the debate, according to CNN.com.
The most prominently featured article about the debate, linked from the homepage and posted the day after its conclusion, will be used as reference. "Live updates" about the debate are excluded.
The order of precedence is as follows. If multiple of these things is present, any instance of a lower number trumps a higher number, even if there are more instances of a higher number.
Headlines that outright state that a candidate won the debate
Articles that declare a candidate "winner," using that word or a similar word; the person declaring the winner is not relevant
"Grade the candidates" articles
Polls are not relevant to this market.
The November 8, 2023 Republican debate market generated controversy because it was close, and you should not bet if you are concerned about close calls. Exactly one candidate will be chosen, and the market will not resolve N/A if it is a close call.
If Ron DeSantis wins the debate, the market will resolve to YES. If CNN does not post any articles about the debate on December 1, 2023, if the debate is so uncivilized that no article provides an opinion as to who won or lost, or if the debate is cancelled, then the market will resolve to N/A. Otherwise, it will resolve to NO.
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