@SteveSokolowski this…has to be resolved I think

Thanks @SteveSokolowski for running this market and putting the work in to it!

I would say the last set of plays was that gragas+galio surviving in top lane, faker killing the kai'sa, etc. They ran it down immediately after that, and they were only up 5k at that point.
As much as things qualify, I would say this qualifies.

@SteveSokolowski resolves NO as T1-BLG is now 1-1

@SteveSokolowski Someone check me, but I think this just hit YES with Ornn picked in game 2?

@RedzoneITG Trusting this data source would be yes, now at 94. https://lol.getfran.dev/worlds2024/data

@SteveSokolowski 14 minutes ahead of the hour, they put up a delay of 10 minutes.

@Fedor We need to wait until it is actually delayed.

Also, FYI, I am going to cut out of Manifold soon to watch the Penn State Ohio State game. It's a shame FOX scheduled the year's biggest football game at noon.

I will resolve all the markets related to League of Legends after I watch the recording this evening. I will be around for an hour though.

@SteveSokolowski Ohh yeah, and this is a 10 minute delay they've done so far, not a 30 minute one. I just saw it and betted and then posted.

@SteveSokolowski Can resolve NO as one of Gen.G, T1 or Flyquest is guaranteed to be the finalist from the bottom half of the bracket

@SteveSokolowski Currently at 85.

@Fedor I apologise flyquest, I was not aware of your game. Now at 90.

@SteveSokolowski resolves YES https://manifold.markets/SirSalty/will-a-korean-team-win-worlds-2024?play=true

@SteveSokolowski i believe this & play-in to semis are NO

@SteveSokolowski not sure if there's an official source for this but lol.fandom and gol.gg both have gala & scout with higher KDAs advancing to playoffs

@Ziddletwix Yes, but as stated below, the tournament has to complete because all games are included. The minimum requirement of advancing to the playoffs was included to ensure that there was a level playing field and someone couldn't win this question with a few kills.

@SteveSokolowski Understood!

@SteveSokolowski This + advances to semifinals can resolve NO

The historical odds of winning with 3 inhibitors down are 1 in 1000. I bought up the market to 58%, which I think is accurate for this game.

@SteveSokolowski That's extraordinary. Of all the things listed in this market, that was by far the least likely to occur.

@SteveSokolowski Yeah, I'm still quite happy betting it down beforehand, I did not expect it to happen

Question suggestion: Rell most deaths (will be in the pick'ems results)

Also according to https://lol.getfran.dev/worlds2024 Chovy has higher KDA than Peyz, highest atm. And is qualified for playoffs, plays no more matches before playoffs and neither does Peyz, so this could resolve No.

Worlds 2024 Pickem Results

Comprehensive statistics and data analysis for the League of Legends World Championships. Explore champion picks, player performances, and team strategies.

@Fedor The purpose of this wording was intended to cover the entire tournament. The reason for the specific wording is that it would be unfair to compare the KDA of people who played four games in the group stages and dominated to people who went all the way deep into the playoffs. However, I should have made it clearer that the entire tournament's KDA would be counted.

@SteveSokolowski Ahh, you meant it like that! Very fair enough and obviously in spirit of the overall market.

@SteveSokolowski GEN vs TES got to 42, so seems quite possible

@Fedor The odds of this should be 50%, based on historical tournaments. Since half the games have already been played, it probably should be valued at a quarter now.