What will happen during the 2024 League of Legends World Championship?
➕
Plus
27
Ṁ36k
resolved Nov 23
Resolved
NO
Blue side winrate >= 60.0%
Resolved
NO
Peyz advances to playoffs and has highest KDA among all players advancing to playoffs
Resolved
YES
>= 94 unique champions played
Resolved
NO
Team loses elder dragon but wins
Resolved
NO
6 or fewer total kills in one or more games
Resolved
YES
More infernal drakes killed than any other type
Resolved
NO
Game lasting 47 minutes or longer
Resolved
NO
Same player achieves two pentakills
Resolved
NO
Start time of final delayed by >= 30 minutes for any unplanned reason
Resolved
NO
Rumble picked or banned >=95% of all games
Resolved
NO
Player with twelve or more deaths in one game
Resolved
NO
Game lasting 18 minutes or shorter
Resolved
NO
One or more all-in base races
Resolved
NO
50 or more total kills in one or more games
Resolved
YES
Tournament decided by the last play of the 5th game of the final
Resolved
NO
Yuumi picked
Resolved
NO
Team wins game without losing any turrets, drakes, voids, rifts, or barons
Resolved
NO
Reverse sweep in a five game series
Resolved
NO
Five or more pentakills
Resolved
NO
Teemo is picked

Here's a collection of prop bets for the 2024 League of Legends World Championship!

One new bet will be added every day, so check back often!

All of these bets resolve to YES if they occur at any time before the conclusion of the tournament's last game. They all resolve to N/A if the tournament doesn't conclude before December 31, 2024, and to NO otherwise.

RELATED: /SteveSokolowski/who-will-win-the-2024-league-of-leg

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@SteveSokolowski this…has to be resolved I think

@McLovin All questions resolved.

Thanks @SteveSokolowski for running this market and putting the work in to it!

bought Ṁ100 YES

I would say the last set of plays was that gragas+galio surviving in top lane, faker killing the kai'sa, etc. They ran it down immediately after that, and they were only up 5k at that point.
As much as things qualify, I would say this qualifies.

bought Ṁ500 NO

@SteveSokolowski resolves NO as T1-BLG is now 1-1

@SteveSokolowski Someone check me, but I think this just hit YES with Ornn picked in game 2?

bought Ṁ400 YES

@RedzoneITG Trusting this data source would be yes, now at 94. https://lol.getfran.dev/worlds2024/data

bought Ṁ20 YES

@SteveSokolowski 14 minutes ahead of the hour, they put up a delay of 10 minutes.

@Fedor We need to wait until it is actually delayed.

Also, FYI, I am going to cut out of Manifold soon to watch the Penn State Ohio State game. It's a shame FOX scheduled the year's biggest football game at noon.

I will resolve all the markets related to League of Legends after I watch the recording this evening. I will be around for an hour though.

@SteveSokolowski Ohh yeah, and this is a 10 minute delay they've done so far, not a 30 minute one. I just saw it and betted and then posted.

@SteveSokolowski Can resolve NO as one of Gen.G, T1 or Flyquest is guaranteed to be the finalist from the bottom half of the bracket

bought Ṁ20 NO

@SteveSokolowski Currently at 85.

bought Ṁ60 YES

@Fedor I apologise flyquest, I was not aware of your game. Now at 90.

bought Ṁ344 NO

@SteveSokolowski i believe this & play-in to semis are NO

bought Ṁ200 NO

@SteveSokolowski not sure if there's an official source for this but lol.fandom and gol.gg both have gala & scout with higher KDAs advancing to playoffs

@Ziddletwix Yes, but as stated below, the tournament has to complete because all games are included. The minimum requirement of advancing to the playoffs was included to ensure that there was a level playing field and someone couldn't win this question with a few kills.

sold Ṁ199 NO

@SteveSokolowski Understood!

@SteveSokolowski This + advances to semifinals can resolve NO

bought Ṁ50 YES

The historical odds of winning with 3 inhibitors down are 1 in 1000. I bought up the market to 58%, which I think is accurate for this game.

@SteveSokolowski That's extraordinary. Of all the things listed in this market, that was by far the least likely to occur.

@SteveSokolowski Yeah, I'm still quite happy betting it down beforehand, I did not expect it to happen

bought Ṁ200 NO

Question suggestion: Rell most deaths (will be in the pick'ems results)

Also according to https://lol.getfran.dev/worlds2024 Chovy has higher KDA than Peyz, highest atm. And is qualified for playoffs, plays no more matches before playoffs and neither does Peyz, so this could resolve No.

@Fedor The purpose of this wording was intended to cover the entire tournament. The reason for the specific wording is that it would be unfair to compare the KDA of people who played four games in the group stages and dominated to people who went all the way deep into the playoffs. However, I should have made it clearer that the entire tournament's KDA would be counted.

@SteveSokolowski Ahh, you meant it like that! Very fair enough and obviously in spirit of the overall market.

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