What will happen during the 2024 League of Legends World Championship?
17
แน€6623
Nov 4
20%
Team wins game without losing any turrets, drakes, voids, rifts, or barons
25%
Final between two Chinese teams
20%
Start time of final delayed by >= 30 minutes for any unplanned reason
20%
Morgana played as JG
20%
Rumble picked or banned >=95% of all games
56%
Team loses elder dragon but wins
30%
Player with twelve or more deaths in one game
25%
6 or fewer total kills in one or more games
69%
Reverse sweep in a five game series
31%
Play-in team advances to semifinals
64%
Play-in team advances to playoffs
4%
Team recovers to win after "3 inhibitor down" state
36%
Game lasting 18 minutes or shorter
11%
Morgana played as ADC
44%
>= 94 unique champions played
50%
One or more all-in base races
31%
More infernal drakes killed than any other type
46%
Blue side winrate >= 60.0%
64%
50 or more total kills in one or more games
64%
Game lasting 47 minutes or longer

Here's a collection of prop bets for the 2024 League of Legends World Championship!

One new bet will be added every day, so check back often!

All of these bets resolve to YES if they occur at any time before the conclusion of the tournament's last game. They all resolve to N/A if the tournament doesn't conclude before December 31, 2024, and to NO otherwise.

RELATED: /SteveSokolowski/who-will-win-the-2024-league-of-leg

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Team loses elder dragon but wins
bought แน€50 Team loses elder dra... YES

@SteveSokolowski If a team loses first elder, but takes a second elder and wins soon afterwards, will still count?

@Fedor Yes. That would be true by the direct meaning of the text.

Possible markets: Games below 19 and 17 minutes.
Will more than X unique champions be picked?
Will anyone run to lane without items?
Will any champion be roleswapped into 3 or more roles?

@Fedor What should X be? That's one that, if chosen correctly, could last until the very end and which is easy to resolve from public stats sites.

@SteveSokolowski Worlds 2023 had 87 unique champion picks. Worlds 2022 had 94 unique champions picked. Meta is really diverse in playoffs so far, so you could go for a number between 90-95.
Source: https://estnn.com/worlds-2023-numbers-longest-game-most-used-champion-more/

@Fedor It would be very difficult to determine whether a champion was roleswapped because that isn't tracked in public statistics, right? With so many combinatorials, it would be probably require the use of GPT-4o's notebooks function and pasting of data to figure it out, which is very difficult both to resolve and to bid on.

However, I did add similar odd champion picks that have been done before and which are easier to resolve.

@SteveSokolowski They usually run 'what is the champion that is played in most roles' as a Crystal Ball question on the league worlds pick em, which lets you know the answer after the tournament is over.

Game lasting 47 minutes or longer
bought แน€20 Game lasting 47 minu... YES

@SteveSokolowski A 49 minute game happened in LEC playoffs, so I think decent chance of it happening at worlds.

bought แน€2 Blue side winrate >=... YES

It's strange to me that the blueside winrate was bet down so much. In 2023, it was 59.5%.