[November 2024] Has weak AGI been achieved?
14
Dec 1
Yes
No
No opinion
On or before November 23, 2024, had weak artificial general intelligence (AGI) been achieved?
This poll is one of a series of monthly polls tracking public opinion of AI progress. The definition of "artificial general intelligence" is not provided, and which software system(s) achieved it is up to the respondent to define. However, a "weak" AGI system is not required to be able to manipulate the physical world.
MANIFOLD PROGRESS POLLS SERIES:
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000and
3.00
1,0003.00Related questions
Related questions
Will we reach "weak AGI" by the end of 2025?
23% chance
Will we get AGI before 2029?
40% chance
Will we get AGI before 2032?
64% chance
Will we get AGI before 2028?
34% chance
Will Manifold users declare that weak AGI has been achieved during or before February 2025?
30% chance
Will we get AGI before 2027?
29% chance
Will we get AGI before 2031?
55% chance
Will we get AGI before 2034?
67% chance
Will we get AGI before 2028?
22% chance
Will we get AGI before 2026?
15% chance