Will the Houthis sink a ship in the Red Sea in 2023 or 2024?
WorldTerrorismWarsMiddle EastYemen
Mini
42
Ṁ20k
resolved Mar 2
Resolved
YES

Adding some caveats in response to some questions in the comments:

To resolve yes:

— the vessel length must exceed 100ft, so small patrol boats won’t count. I was intending ships, not small boats.

— for purposes of this market, ‘sink’ means the vessel is either a) completely submerged due to Houthi attack OR b) damaged beyond repair such that a third party sinks the vessel rather than tow it to safe harbor.

Get Ṁ600 play money

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inactive creator, resolves yes

@SemioticRivalry oh good looking out - thanks! 🙏

echoing the other resolution requests - not only has the Yemeni government declared Rubymar sunk but it's been corroborated. ready to resolve @StephenSweet

bought Ṁ1,690 YES

Ready to resolve!

Market for sinking a second ship, if you liked this one:

bought Ṁ1,000 YES

@StephenSweet Resolves YES https://apnews.com/article/yemen-houthi-rebels-rubymar-sinks-red-sea-fb64a490ce935756337ee3606e15d093

bought Ṁ30 YES

https://edition.cnn.com/2024/02/23/politics/sinking-ship-houthi-missile-oil-slick/index.html#:~:text=Video-,Sinking%20ship%20hit%20by%20Houthi%20missile%20leaves%2018%2Dmile%20oil,Red%20Sea%2C%20US%20officials%20say&text=In%20this%20satellite%20image%20provided,attack%20by%20Yemen's%20Houthi%20rebels.

resolve please

Is there a tonnage limitation here, will any sized vessel count?

predicted NO

@vitamind Good question…there’s no tonnage requirement, but let’s weed out some edge cases.

To resolve yes:

— the vessel length must exceed 100ft, so small patrol boats won’t count. I was intending ships, not small boats.

— for purposes of this market, ‘sink’ means either a) completely submerged due to Houthi attack OR b) damaged beyond repair such that a third party sinks the vessel rather than tow it to safe harbor.

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