
Will the Houthis sink a ship in the Red Sea in 2023 or 2024?
42
730Ṁ20kresolved Mar 2
Resolved
YES1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Adding some caveats in response to some questions in the comments:
To resolve yes:
— the vessel length must exceed 100ft, so small patrol boats won’t count. I was intending ships, not small boats.
— for purposes of this market, ‘sink’ means the vessel is either a) completely submerged due to Houthi attack OR b) damaged beyond repair such that a third party sinks the vessel rather than tow it to safe harbor.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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