When will the Dutch Cabinet Schoof cease to be in power?
12
1kṀ19k
2027
0.6%
Before 2025
0.4%
First half of 2025
10%
Second half of 2025
88%
2026
1.6%
2027

This market predicts the timeframe in which the Dutch Cabinet Schoof will end its tenure, either through scheduled elections, dissolution, or replacement.

Resolution criteria: Market resolves based on the official date when the cabinet ceases to be in power.

References:

  • Update 2025-06-15 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The market will resolve based on the date of dismissal of all remaining ministers of the current cabinet, as published in the Staatscourant (official gazette).

    • The cabinet becoming "demissionair" (caretaker) does not count as a resolution.

    • If dismissal and appointment of new ministers happen on separate days, the day of dismissal will be used.

    • A new election resulting in another cabinet, even if still led by Prime Minister Schoof, will count as the end of the current cabinet.

  • Update 2025-06-15 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): - The market will resolve based on the date of dismissal of all remaining ministers of the current cabinet, as published in the Staatscourant (official gazette).

    • The cabinet becoming "demissionair" (caretaker) does not count as a resolution.

    • A new election resulting in another cabinet, even if still led by Prime Minister Schoof, will count as the end of the current cabinet.

    • If dismissal and appointment of new ministers happen on separate days, the day of dismissal will be used.

  • Update 2025-06-18 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The departure of a subset of ministers does not constitute a dissolution of the cabinet.

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