This market predicts the timeframe in which the Dutch Cabinet Schoof will end its tenure, either through scheduled elections, dissolution, or replacement.
Resolution criteria: Market resolves based on the official date when the cabinet ceases to be in power.
References:
https://nltimes.nl/2024/09/13/support-dutch-coalition-holds-40-nearly-70-expect-cabinet-collapse
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2023%E2%80%932024_Dutch_cabinet_formation
Update 2025-06-15 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The market will resolve based on the date of dismissal of all remaining ministers of the current cabinet, as published in the Staatscourant (official gazette).
The cabinet becoming "demissionair" (caretaker) does not count as a resolution.
If dismissal and appointment of new ministers happen on separate days, the day of dismissal will be used.
A new election resulting in another cabinet, even if still led by Prime Minister Schoof, will count as the end of the current cabinet.
Update 2025-06-15 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): - The market will resolve based on the date of dismissal of all remaining ministers of the current cabinet, as published in the Staatscourant (official gazette).
The cabinet becoming "demissionair" (caretaker) does not count as a resolution.
A new election resulting in another cabinet, even if still led by Prime Minister Schoof, will count as the end of the current cabinet.
If dismissal and appointment of new ministers happen on separate days, the day of dismissal will be used.
Update 2025-06-18 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The departure of a subset of ministers does not constitute a dissolution of the cabinet.
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