The population of "The Line" in Saudi Arabia will reach 1 million
The population of "The Line" in Saudi Arabia will reach 1 million
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MBS's project for a collosal linear city started construction in 2021. Residents are scheduled to start moving in from 2024, with an eventual population of 9 million.
I will resolve YES if and when multiple credible sources estimate the population of The Line as at least 1 million. If this does not happen by Jan 1, 2040, I will resolve NO.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/The_Line,_Saudi_Arabia
https://www.neom.com/en-us/regions/theline
Close date updated to 2039-12-31 11:59 pm
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What is Manifold?
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Or create your own play-money betting market on any question you care about.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like betting still use Manifold to get reliable news.
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