Will Saudi Arabia build a structure at least 100m x 100m x 1000m before 2040

Question

Based on Scott's prediction here: https://astralcodexten.substack.com/p/model-city-monday-8122?r=f8jeq&s=r&utm_campaign=post&utm_medium=web

Manifold Markets · Answer

Roughly even odds — Manifold Markets prediction market estimates a 59% chance (29 traders, as of Feb 27, 2026).