Will Lex Fridman interview Putin before the Ukraine-Russia war ends?
Will Lex Fridman interview Putin before the Ukraine-Russia war ends?
61
1kṀ60102035
39%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Resolves NO one year after the war ends without video release.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000 to start trading!
1,000Sort by:
Lex is an -incredibly- suspect person. he hasn't interviewed a single person offering a Ukrainian perspective but wants Putin, who is committing genocide, on his show? Nasty
What is this?
What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Or create your own play-money betting market on any question you care about.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like betting still use Manifold to get reliable news.
Why use play money?
Why use play money?Mana (Ṁ) is the play-money currency used to bet on Manifold. It cannot be converted to cash. All users start with Ṁ1,000 for free.
Play money means it's much easier for anyone anywhere in the world to get started and try out forecasting without any risk. It also means there's more freedom to create and bet on any type of question.
Related questions
What is this?
What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Or create your own play-money betting market on any question you care about.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like betting still use Manifold to get reliable news.
Why use play money?
Why use play money?Mana (Ṁ) is the play-money currency used to bet on Manifold. It cannot be converted to cash. All users start with Ṁ1,000 for free.
Play money means it's much easier for anyone anywhere in the world to get started and try out forecasting without any risk. It also means there's more freedom to create and bet on any type of question.
Related questions
Will Lex Fridman interview Vladimir Putin while he is still Russia's president?
39% chance
Will Lex Fridman host another interview with Zelensky in the next 6 month?
3% chance
Will Lex Fridman return from Russia before 2026?
90% chance
Will Lex Friedman post an interview with Julian Assange by the end of 2025?
18% chance
Will Vladimir Putin be in power at the conclusion of the Russia-Ukraine war?
80% chance
Will Putin still be Russia's President when the war in Ukraine ends?
96% chance
Will Putin be alive at the end of the Russo-Ukrainian War?
74% chance
Will Vladimir Putin die before the end of the war on Ukraine?
23% chance
Will Lex Fridman interview the next US President by 2029?
80% chance
If Assad survives will Lex Fridman have him on the podcast by the end of 2026?
20% chance