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MANIFOLD
Will China recreate GPT-4o by EOY 2024?
21
Ṁ1kṀ2.1k
resolved Mar 29
Resolved
NO

Text, audio input-output, vision input-output all need to be at a similar level.

GPT-4o-0513

Text will be measured by ELO on Lmsys with a margin less then 10.

Criterion for audio and vision are yet to be determined.

  • Update 2026-03-18 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Creator intends to resolve NO unless presented with evidence otherwise, citing that most Chinese models lack audio input/output capability, which is a core requirement.

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I think the first omni model was Qwen3?

I am gonna resolve no unless people have different opinions. most models dont have audio input output

bought Ṁ5 YES

What counts as Chinese

@ismellpillows Chinese company/organizations.

I.e. if Huawei Tel Aviv lab made it, it counts. Meanwhile, MSRA does not count