This market will resolve to YES if Ukrainian forces have captured Moscow by January 1st, 2023.
Related questions
@Sinclair the lazy fairy is SOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOO Mad at u!!!!
@Sinclair So... we're just supposed to sell our shares at whatever loss or gain we happen to have? If the question is canceled, why not cancel transactions?
@belikewater It's not cancelled, just unlisted from the main page so a prank doesn't confuse new users.
@ian Lying on Twitter has fewer negative consequences than lying on MM. I predict that this will be resolved honestly.... but I liked the immediate profit so much, and the risk so little, that I sold anyway.
@ian Looks like there's no real way for this to be resolved honourably - either Spindle goes against their word on Manifold or their word on Discord. I'm tempted to add it to the "Improperly Resolved" group already.
@Spindle Well, lying about lying on Twitter on MM is also not going to lead to any negative consequences, so I don't trust you on that, but more importantly, lying on Discord fewer negative consequences than lying on MM. I predict that this will resolve honorably.
Also, I'd be interested if MM Spindle is willing to confirm that Discord Spindle is the same person?
@Duncan Yeah, the incentives are too strong. If they lie here, no one will ever participate in their markets again, and that's no fun. Spindle's markets are wiggly!
@Duncan The MM Spindle resolved their market shortly after I pinged Discord spindle that they should resolve it.