Resolution criteria

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Greece holds national parliamentary elections before October 1, 2025. The primary source for resolution will be an official announcement from the Greek government or the Hellenic Parliament and reports from credible news outlets such as https://www.ekathimerini.com/ and https://en.protothema.gr/. If no such elections are held by that date, the market will resolve to "No."

Background

Greece's most recent parliamentary elections occurred in June 2023, with the New Democracy party securing an absolute majority of 158 seats. The next scheduled parliamentary elections are set for April 2027. (en.wikipedia.org)

Considerations

Despite the Prime Minister's statements, public sentiment has shown a desire for early elections. A March 2025 MRB poll indicated that 57.5% of respondents favored snap elections, largely due to dissatisfaction with the government's handling of the 2023 Tempe railway disaster. (ekathimerini.com) However, as of now, there are no official indications that early elections will be called.