Will Sam make a public positive statement of support for Adam to “clear” his name?
11
134
230
resolved Dec 5
Resolved
YES

Background

Many, including myself, have expressed concern over Adam, the creator of Poe (a ChatGPT wrapper/replica), also serving on the board of OpenAI. This dual role seemed to present a significant conflict of interest, leading to doubts about Adam’s motivations. Despite these concerns, Adam remains on the board, suggesting that our initial conclusions may have been premature. I am curious to see if Sam will make any public statements, such as tweets, retweets, or likes, that aim to vindicate Adam.

Resolution Criteria

1. Defining "public positive statement of support": This includes any public statement, tweet, retweet, or 'like' by Sam Altman explicitly affirming Adam's character or intentions. The endorsements should be clearly positive, such as stating Adam has a "good moral compass," "good intentions," or similar sentiments.

2. Time Frame: The market will resolve based on Sam Altman's public actions up to end of this year.

3. Verification Source: The resolution will rely on verifiable public records, such as Sam Altman's verified social media accounts and credible news sources.

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bought Ṁ330 of YES

Enough for a YES @Soli?

Adam has always been very clear with me and the Board about the potential conflict and doing whatever he needed to do (recusing himself when appropriate and even offering to leave the Board if we ever thought it was necessary) to appropriately manage this situation and to avoid conflicted decision-making

bought Ṁ496 YES from 90% to 97%
bought Ṁ44 of NO

"The endorsements should be clearly positive, such as stating Adam has a "good moral compass," "good intentions," or similar sentiments" not sure if this meets that bar or not

bought Ṁ496 of YES

@jacksonpolack Altman said he did "whatever he needed to do... to appropriately manage the situation."

Sounds positive to me.

predicted NO

it is definitely positive, as opposed to neutral or negative, but it's not a clearly positive endorsement of adam's character, specifically it's not "good moral compass". could go either way idk!

predicted YES

@jacksonpolack "good moral compass," handling the situation "appropriately" same thing, basically.

@chrisjbillington Just resolved. This clearly suffices and is more than enough.

@jacksonpolack the resolution criteria clearly states:

Defining "public positive statement of support": This includes any public statement, tweet, retweet, or 'like' by Sam Altman explicitly affirming Adam's character or intentions.

The statement by Sam explicitly affirms Adam’s intentions

PEOPLE FOCUS - This should get more attention.