Will OpenAI’s AI Video model Sora be available to the public in 2024 or 2025?
Will OpenAI’s AI Video model Sora be available to the public in 2024 or 2025?
24
1kṀ13kresolved Dec 10
Resolved
YES1D
1W
1M
ALL
The screenshot above is from OpenAI’s page announcing their crazy new AI video model. They say, “If we deploy the model in an OpenAI product,” which makes me wonder if they will deploy it and, if yes, when.
The question resolves yes if the model is available to users of any kind (paid or free). If the model is invite-only it won’t count.
Possible clarification from creator (AI generated): The market will resolve YES when either:
The creator gets access to Sora
People start posting Sora-generated content on Twitter
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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sora is out: https://sora.com/ - will resolve yes once i get access or people start posting stuff on twitter
Does this count if they go straight to Sora 2 without releasing the one they showed in the website examples?
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Related questions
What is this?
What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Or create your own play-money betting market on any question you care about.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like betting still use Manifold to get reliable news.
Why use play money?
Why use play money?Mana (Ṁ) is the play-money currency used to bet on Manifold. It cannot be converted to cash. All users start with Ṁ1,000 for free.
Play money means it's much easier for anyone anywhere in the world to get started and try out forecasting without any risk. It also means there's more freedom to create and bet on any type of question.
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