Will this market have “x” traders by September 1st.
35
2.7kṀ9983
resolved Aug 19
ResolvedN/A
65%
50
16%
100
7%
150
4%
200
1.6%
250
1.2%
300
0.5%
350
0.2%
400
5%Other

The number of unique traders on this question will determine how it’s resolved.

A fun question inspired by others who have done something similar.

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Since it's not clearly stated that "x" must divide by 50 without remainder, the answer Other obviously should be resolved YES == free mana, everyone

bought Ṁ50 YES

bump

filled a Ṁ5 YES at 1.0% order

@strutheo It's dependent / linked, so it should either resolve N/A or resolve to YES only if the market closes with that exact number of traders.

@4fa I think people are clearly using this as thesholds not individual buckets

@strutheo if there are 60 traders that fulfils having 50 traders and that will resolve yes

@strutheo or @mods can na

@strutheo if there are 110 traders it feels weird for 50 to resolve NO. Also weird for 50 and 100 to resolve 50/50 or any other fraction. NA seems best to me

yea NA pls

@strutheo shouldn't it resolve other?

@ian or just change the title to >= x traders

@ian No, ">=x" does not make sense because the market is dependent / linked.

@ian other (if it doesn't end on an exact multiple of 50) would be the most correct based on the wording of the question, but it's clearly not how most traders have interpreted it, or other would be at 98%.

Changing title to >= x still leaves you with the problem of how do you resolve if there are 110 traders. 50? 100? 50/50 for both?

I think most traders didn't notice that it was a linked MC market. Market creator didn't draw attention to the weird market structure and didn't respond to requests for clarification. I think it's very likely that they intended it to be unlinked (like all the other markets of this type that I've ever seen).

If I'm right that market creator intended a different market structure, and a significant number of traders assumed it was that structure, then NA seems most appropriate to me.

yea i see the confusion

on some of the older numeric markets people assumed threshold historically, so mods can be a bit discretionary on those

but being linked is confusion on this one

sold Ṁ38 NO

Wait, why is this dependent / linked? Does an option resolve to YES only if the market closes with that exact number of traders?

@4fa I hope so, i bet on other.

sold Ṁ56 YES

@4fa well spotted. Grounds for NA I reckon. Creator might be inactive though

bought Ṁ70 YES

70 down on 150@5%. Witness me. Thanks to sol for giving this some capital.

225 liquidity 🥀

@121 I’m a fool who doesn’t use this app much. How much liquidity makes a market like this interesting?

@SolHando the new amount (2.7k) should be enough

bought Ṁ50 YES

@121 cool. I’m betting more people will use it then.

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