Will Twitter have an outage lasting at least 1 week before the end of the year?
10
230Ṁ2455
resolved Jan 1
Resolved
NO

Will Twitter experience an outage of 7 days or larger before the end of the year?

This market will resolve YES if, before market close, the Twitter platform is continuously unavailable to users for more than 1 week, as reported by Downdetector.com or equivalent reliable sources.

Otherwise this market will resolve NO.

See my related Post on evaluating Twitter under Musk:
https://manifold.markets/post/evaluating-twitter-after-a-year-of

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I expect that would be essentially the death of the entire service, given it could prove a catalyzing event for users to be shed to one of its competitors. Accordingly, I expect they'll do whatever it takes to avoid it, even if that means disabling some features to keep the core service up.

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